Politics

Resonate’s voter insights platform analyzes swing voters across the most relevant political persuasion insights. Here’s a look at what’s driving the midterm swing voter:

The 2018 midterm elections may very well change the balance of power in Congress, but the slow decline in American confidence toward the political, media and the business establishment will continue.

The lead-up to the midterms makes it clear women are powerful, but they aren’t protected economically or socially. That lack of protection shows up in political representation, especially among black women.

The biggest problem with polling in 2016 was not flawed methodology or the naively confident aggregation of polling into probabilities of outcomes. The issue was that everyone was so centered on the horse race.

GOP enthusiasm about the Congressional elections rose after Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation, especially among Republican men. But Democratic enthusiasm had been high beforehand and has remained so. And for the first time in two years, Republicans feel as good as Democrats about their party and its Congressional leaders.

Despite the likelihood that Democrats pick up a substantial number of midterm House seats, they will be hard-pressed to recapture the Senate.

A party typically holds majority through multiple election cycles, but this election isn’t typical: some pundits have forecast a partisan shift in Congress. Which factors are we watching?

Midterm elections are about turnout. Democratic enthusiasm has been high all year, translating into a generic ballot advantage suggestive of a blue wave. The Kavanaugh hearings ignited GOP enthusiasm and narrowed the Democratic advantage some.

Fast facts! Here are the numbers to know heading into midterms 2018:

A record number of women are running for office nationwide. One reason behind the surge? Hillary Clinton.

We are witnessing some of the most heated national policy debates in decades. From border control to Supreme Court nominees, disputes in the nation’s capital have taken center stage. But while all eyes are on Washington, significant work is happening at local levels.

Kentucky HEALTH is the Commonwealth’s new health coverage plan for some Medicaid beneficiaries. Kentucky HEALTH’s Community Engagement program connects able-bodied Medicaid recipients to robust workforce development programs, tuition-free job certification programs and volunteer opportunities in their communities.

After two years of low revenue growth, most state governments finished fiscal year 2018 with surpluses driven by unusually high individual income tax payments from non-withholding income sources. Many characterize much of this increase as one-time. Rainy day fund deposits will be the most common use; raising reserve levels above those prior to the recession.

Both red and blue states will react to the new limits on State and Local Tax (SALT) deductibility for federal taxes. Red states will continue to reduce the top individual rates; blue states will slow or stop planned increases.

Until recently, federalism was described almost entirely in terms of the relationship between state and federal government. States, we’ve been told, are the “laboratories of democracy,” developing policies and ideas that might eventually be replicated at the national level.

As Congress considers legislation to support the nation’s response to the opioid epidemic, it’s important to note that this is a local crisis – experienced in families and in communities across the country.

Hawai‘i has one of the lowest rates of gun violence in the nation thanks to our common-sense laws, so when the Legislature passed a bill prohibiting bump stocks and other trigger modifications, I was proud to sign it.

At National Governor Association (NGA) meetings across the country this year, Republican and Democratic governors have increased their engagement with foreign leaders on issues of trade, investment and shared policy challenges.

Short answer: If we don’t, we’re looking at another four years of Trump and another decade of gerrymandering.

The 2018 ALEC annual meeting in New Orleans marks 45 years of legislators coming together to share ideas and experiences to create research-based model policies focused on limited government, free markets and federalism.

Eyewitness misidentifications are the leading cause of wrongful convictions in this country. In Louisiana alone, studies reveal that 14 out of 15 exonerated cases involved eyewitness misidentification.

Most states don’t comprehensively track their disaster spending. But with costs rising, the federal government is looking to manage spending in ways that could affect the federal-state partnership in disaster assistance.

After 83 years of a Democrat-controlled legislature, Republicans took control of the Legislature beginning January 2015. Since then, West Virginia’s unemployment rate dropped to 5.3 percent, and its GDP growth has been among the highest in the country.

The Founders knew a time would come when the states would have to flex their constitutional muscles to restore the balance of power between the states and the federal government. They gave the states the constitutional power to push back against an intrusive federal government. That’s why the states matter.

Representation matters. That’s not a motto. It’s not aspirational. It’s research. In their forthcoming book, “A Seat at the Table: Congresswomen’s Perspectives on Why Their Presence Matters,” CAWP scholars show, through interviews with more than 80 women members of Congress, that different experiences bring different perspectives – leading to different policy priorities.

This month, we celebrated July Fourth – a day when, amid cookouts and fireworks, we commemorate our nation’s birth. Independence Day is a time to reflect on America’s fundamental values. That’s why this edition examines the very document that enshrines our country’s ideals: The Constitution.

Our founders understood that self-governance requires an independent press to allow citizens to engage in free debate and hold government accountable.

When I set out to do a podcast about the Constitution, I struggled at first to figure out how to bring such a complex document into an accessible audio form – one that would animate people across age groups and backgrounds to engage with the laws and governing principles that shape their lives in this country.

Six decades after Lyndon B. Johnson observed, “A man without a vote is a man without protection,” the Supreme Court ruled that the right to vote is more “use it or lose it.” Now, Ohioans can be purged from the rolls for simply not voting and responding to a mailer in a prescribed amount of time.

At its outset, the Constitution was valued more as a tool than an object for citizens. Occasionally the “Federalist Papers” strike a tone of near apology; they defend the Constitution as necessary if undesirable in some regards.